FX Correlations Surge on Risk Aversion Since the credit crisis heated up several months ago, the theme of risk aversion has predominated in equity markets. This is also true in forex markets, where deleveraging and a shift to perceived investing “safe havens” has led to a…
Since the credit crisis heated up several months ago, the [...]
Russia to Devalue Ruble Russia is currently facing its worst currency crisis since 1998, when it defaulted on its debt and the Ruble plunged 71% against the Dollar. This time around, Russia is being attacked on two fronts: the sell-off in emerging markets and…
Russia is currently facing its worst currency crisis since 1998, when it [...]
What’s bearish for stocks, is bullish for the dollar I came across a study that confirms just how tightly tied the markets have become. According to James Bianco, president of Bianco Research LLC: Over the last [...]
A Time to Face Our Investing Fears Every time it looks like a real stock market rally is about to happen, the indexes end up right back down where they started (or lower). Panic and doomsday scenarios are all over the newspapers and TV talk shows. And when you look at [...]
How to deal with Drawdowns on Systems and Managed Accounts Drawdowns as defined by Investopedia are the peak-to-trough decline during a specific record period of an investment, fund or commodity. A drawdown is usually quoted as the percentage between the peak and the trough. However what I wanted to address is why drawdowns [...]
Hedging the Rising Dollar While the Dollar rally may ultimately prove beneficial to US consumers (due to cheaper imports), it is certainly not helping US-based multinational corporations. Companies that earn a significant portion of their revenue abroad would normally be considered stable investments during…
While the Dollar rally may ultimately prove beneficial to US consumers (due [...]
Hedging the Rising Dollar While the Dollar rally may ultimately prove beneficial to US consumers (due to cheaper imports), it is certainly not helping US-based multinational corporations. Companies that earn a significant portion of their revenue abroad would normally be considered stable investments during…
While the Dollar rally may ultimately prove beneficial to US consumers (due [...]
Beware of Overconfidence in the Dollar The word “confidence” has become ubiquitous when talking about the credit crisis. Policymakers talk casually about the lack of confidence and offer solutions for its restoration. But wasn’t it a surplus of confidence that was responsible for the credit crisis?…
The word "confidence" has become ubiquitous when talking about the [...]
Urgent Crash Warning! This stock market decline could go down in history as one of the worst crashes of all time, and it gives me no pleasure to see my dire warnings come true. I have dreaded this day as often as I have predicted it. In July, our Safe Money [...]
Credit Crisis could Bring Deflation Policymakers are once again uttering the dreaded D-word. Not “depression,” but rather “deflation.” Food and energy prices have retreated from record highs, and the economic downturn is threatening to crimp demand further. In addition, the deleveraging brought about by the…
Policymakers are once again uttering the dreaded D-word. Not "depression," but [...]
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